Interest Rates
ECB Decision October 29 2026
ECB Decision 2026 · Oct 29, 2026 · Trading open
$93 vol.
About this market
Traders price No change at 96%, ahead of Raise 50bps or more at 10%.
The market has $93 in volume across 24 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Oct 29, 2026. The result is confirmed by European Central Bank.
The ECB sets a target deposit facilities rate, based on prevailing economic conditions. This rate guides the cost at which banks lend to each other overnight and serves as the central bank's primary tool for controlling inflation and maintaining monetary stability.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB leave the rate unchanged in October 2026?” is yes.
- Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 50bps or more in October 2026?” is yes.
- Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026?” is yes.
- Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 25bps in October 2026?” is yes.
- Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 50bps or more in October 2026?” is yes.
Result confirmed by European Central Bank.
- Trading opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 29, 2026
- Expected result
- Oct 29, 2026
- Expected payout
- Oct 29, 2026
More ECB Decision markets
Other dates in this series
+3 more
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.