Interest Rates
ECB Decision December 17 2026
ECB Decision 2026 · Dec 17, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Dec 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by European Central Bank.
The ECB sets a target deposit facilities rate, based on prevailing economic conditions. This rate guides the cost at which banks lend to each other overnight and serves as the central bank's primary tool for controlling inflation and maintaining monetary stability.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in December 2026?” is yes.
- Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 50bps or more in December 2026?” is yes.
- No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB leave the rate unchanged in December 2026?” is yes.
- Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 25bps in December 2026?” is yes.
- Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 50bps or more in December 2026?” is yes.
Result confirmed by European Central Bank.
- Trading opened
- Sep 10, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 17, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 17, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 17, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.