Interest Rates
ECB Decision February 4 2027
ECB Decision 2027 · Feb 4, 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 4, 2027, 8:15 AM ET. The result is confirmed by European Central Bank.
The ECB sets a target deposit facilities rate, based on prevailing economic conditions. This rate guides the cost at which banks lend to each other overnight and serves as the central bank's primary tool for controlling inflation and maintaining monetary stability.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in February 2027? (monetary easing) (monetary tightening) (Euro rates)?” is yes.
- Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB lower the rate 50bps or more in February 2027? (monetary easing) (monetary tightening) (Euro rates)?” is yes.
- No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB leave the rate unchanged in February 2027? (monetary easing) (monetary tightening) (Euro rates)?” is yes.
- Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 25bps in February 2027? (monetary easing) (monetary tightening) (Euro rates)?” is yes.
- Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the ECB raise the rate 50bps or more in February 2027? (monetary easing) (monetary tightening) (Euro rates)?” is yes.
Result confirmed by European Central Bank.
- Trading opened
- Oct 29, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 4, 2027, 8:15 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 4, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 4, 2027
More ECB Decision markets
Other dates in this series
+3 more
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.