Open an account
Interest Rates

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision November 3 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$59 vol.

About this market

Traders price Raise 25bps at 65%, ahead of No change at 40%.

The market has $59 in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 3, 2026. The result is confirmed by Reserve Bank of Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia sets a cash rate target, which is the interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between banks in the money market. This rate serves as the banks's primary monetary policy tool, influencing broader interest rates across the economy, including lending and deposit rates to help control inflation, support employment, and maintain overall economic stability.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
  • No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
  • Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
  • Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 50bps or more at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
  • Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 50bps or more at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Reserve Bank of Australia.

Trading opened
Aug 10, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 3, 2026
Expected result
Nov 3, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 2, 2026

More Reserve Bank of Australia Decision markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.