Reserve Bank of Australia Decision December 8 2026

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

• Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the December 8, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
• Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 50bps or more at the December 8, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
• No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the December 8, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
• Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the December 8, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.
• Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 50bps or more at the December 8, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Reserve Bank of Australia.

Trading opened

Sep 28, 2026

Trading closes

Dec 8, 2026

Expected result

Dec 8, 2026

Expected payout

Dec 7, 2026