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Bank of Mexico Decision November 5 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision 2026 · Nov 5, 2026 · Trading open

$48 vol.

About this market

Traders price No change at 64%, ahead of Lower 25bps at 29%.

The market has $48 in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by Bank of Mexico.

The Bank of Mexico sets a target overnight interbank interest rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions. This rate guides the cost at which banks lend to each other overnight and serves as the central bank's primary tool for controlling inflation and maintaining monetary stability.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Mexico leave the rate unchanged at the November 5, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
  • Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Mexico lower the rate 25bps at the November 5, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
  • Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Mexico raise the rate 25bps at the November 5, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
  • Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Mexico lower the rate 50bps or more at the November 5, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
  • Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Mexico raise the rate 50bps or more at the November 5, 2026 meeting?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Bank of Mexico.

Trading opened
Aug 6, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 5, 2026
Expected result
Nov 5, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 5, 2026

More Bank of Mexico Decision markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.