Interest Rates
Bank of Canada Decision December 9 2026
Bank of Canada Decision 2026 · Dec 9, 2026 · Trading open
$106 vol.
About this market
Traders price Raise 25bps at 51%, ahead of No change at 44%.
The market has $106 in volume across 36 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by Bank of Canada.
The Bank of Canada sets a target overnight rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions. This rate guides the cost at which banks lend to each other overnight and serves as the central bank's primary tool for controlling inflation and maintaining monetary stability.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Canada raise the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
- No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Canada leave the rate unchanged at the December 9, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
- Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
- Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Canada lower the rate 50bps or more at the December 9, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
- Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Bank of Canada raise the rate 50bps or more at the December 9, 2026 meeting?” is yes.
Result confirmed by Bank of Canada.
- Trading opened
- Sep 3, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 9, 2026
More Bank of Canada Decision markets
Other dates in this series
+3 more · 270 open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.