Fed Decision Combo December 9 2026
Fed Decision Combo 2026 · Dec 9, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by Federal Open Market Committee.
This Contract is resolved based upon the combination of (i) the change in the federal funds target range announced by the Federal Reserve at the conclusion of the designated scheduled FOMC meeting, and (ii) whether the dissent outcome specified in the Contract occurs during that same designated FOMC meeting.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Cut 25bps; At Least One DissentResolves Yes if the Fed lower the rate 25bps and has at least one FOMC member dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
- Cut 25bps; No DissentsResolves Yes if the Fed lower the rate 25bps and has no FOMC members dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
- Hike 25bps; At Least One DissentResolves Yes if the Fed raise the rate 25bps and has at least one FOMC member dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
- Hike 25bps; No DissentsResolves Yes if the Fed raise the rate 25bps and has no FOMC members dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
- No Change; At Least One DissentResolves Yes if the Fed keep the rate unchanged and has at least one FOMC member dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
- No Change; No DissentsResolves Yes if the Fed keep the rate unchanged and has no FOMC members dissent at the December 9, 2026 meeting? (FOMC) (monetary policy) (interest rates).
Result confirmed by Federal Open Market Committee.
- Trading opened
- Sep 25, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 9, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.