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Interest Rates

EU Central Bank Rate October 2026

EU Central Bank Rate 2026 · Oct 29, 2026 · Trading open

$1.4K vol.
Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 1.15% at 98%, ahead of Above 1.4% at 98%.

The market has $1.4K in volume across 296 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.

Trading closes on Oct 29, 2026. The result is confirmed by European Central Bank.

The EU Deposit Facilities Rate is a series of interest rates set by the European Central Bank. The rate sets the cost for banks to borrow money which can influence the interest rates charged on loans and deposits to people and businesses.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 1.15%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 1.15% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 1.4%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 1.4% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 1.65%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 1.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 1.9%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 2.15%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 2.15% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 2.4%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 2.4% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 2.65%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 2.9%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 2.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.
  • Above 0.9%Resolves Yes if the EU Deposit Facilities Rate is set above 0.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026.

Result confirmed by European Central Bank.

Trading opened
May 12, 2025
Trading closes
Oct 29, 2026
Expected result
Oct 29, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 29, 2026

More EU Central Bank Rate markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.