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Interest Rates

Number of Fed Rate Cuts December 9 2026

Number of Fed Rate Cuts 2026 · Dec 9, 2026 · Trading open

$31.5K vol.
Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 0 at 95%, ahead of 6 at 27%.

The market has $31.5K in volume across 472 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by Federal Open Market Committee.

The federal funds rate is the target interest rate range set by the FOMC. This is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. The FOMC sets a target federal funds rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions. Any change in the target rate is measured in 25 basis point increments, with each 25 basis point reduction counted as one rate cut.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 0Resolves Yes if there is exactly 0 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 6Resolves Yes if there is exactly 6 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 8Resolves Yes if there is exactly 8 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 3Resolves Yes if there is exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 2Resolves Yes if there is exactly 2 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 1Resolves Yes if there is exactly 1 rate cuts in 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • 5Resolves Yes if there is exactly 5 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 4Resolves Yes if there is exactly 4 rate cuts in 2026.
  • 7Resolves Yes if there is exactly 7 rate cuts in 2026.

Result confirmed by Federal Open Market Committee.

Trading opened
Dec 1, 2025
Trading closes
Dec 9, 2026
Expected result
Dec 9, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 9, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.