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What will the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer be?

Farmers Fertilizer Price Change November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by USDA.

The monthly percentage change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer, as reported in the USDA Agricultural Prices report. The resolution data for fertilizer can be found in the Prices Paid Indexes and Related Parity Ratios table.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -1% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -2% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above -3%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -3% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above -4%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -4% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above -5%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -5% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 0% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 1% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 2% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 3% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 4% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).
  • Above 5%Resolves Yes if the month over month change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 5% in November 2026? (Farming) (Agriculture) (Crop costs) (Commodities).

Result confirmed by USDA.

Trading opened
Sep 25, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 30, 2026
Expected result
Dec 30, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 30, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.