Senate

Who will win the Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026?

Virginia Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Mark Warner96%
Bert Mizusawa4%
$837 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mark Warner at 96% to win, ahead of Bert Mizusawa at 4%.

The market has $837 in volume across 23 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 8, 2026. The result is confirmed by Virginia State Board of Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Virginia, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mark WarnerResolves Yes if Mark Warner wins the Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Bert MizusawaResolves Yes if Bert Mizusawa wins the Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Kim FaringtonResolves Yes if Kim Farington wins the Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Virginia State Board of Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 8, 2026
Expected result
Dec 8, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 8, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.