Senate

Who will win the West Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026?

West Virginia Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Shelley Moore Capito94%
Jeff Kessler7%
$790 vol.

About this market

Traders price Shelley Moore Capito at 94% to win, ahead of Jeff Kessler at 7%.

The market has $790 in volume across 27 trades; the most recent was on Sep 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 3, 2026. The result is confirmed by West Virginia Secretary of State Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in West Virginia, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Shelley Moore CapitoResolves Yes if Shelley Moore Capito wins the West Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Jeff KesslerResolves Yes if Jeff Kessler wins the West Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Zach ShrewsburyResolves Yes if Zach Shrewsbury wins the West Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Rachel Fetty AndersonResolves Yes if Rachel Fetty Anderson wins the West Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by West Virginia Secretary of State Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 3, 2026
Expected result
Dec 3, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 3, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.