Labor

What will Canada's Unemployment Rate be?

Canada Unemployment Rate December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$214 vol.

About this market

Traders price Above 3.4% at 99%, ahead of Above 5% at 96%.

The market has $214 in volume across 58 trades; the most recent was on Oct 9, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 8, 2027. The result is confirmed by Statistics Canada.

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 3.4%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.4% in December 2026.
  • Above 5%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 5% in December 2026.
  • Above 5.8%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 5.8% in December 2026.
  • Above 6.6%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 6.6% in December 2026.
  • Above 9.8%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 9.8% in December 2026.
  • Above 7.4%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 7.4% in December 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 8.2%Resolves Yes if Canada's Unemployment Rate exceeds 8.2% in December 2026.

Result confirmed by Statistics Canada.

Trading opened
Apr 3, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 8, 2027
Expected result
Jan 8, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 8, 2027

More Canada Unemployment Rate markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.