Prices & Inflation
What will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI be?
US Core CPI December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Jan 12, 2028. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Core CPI is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services, excluding food and energy. CPI data is widely used by financial market participants to gauge inflation and by the Federal Reserve to calibrate its monetary policy.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 1.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 1.6% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
- Above 2.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 2.4% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
- Above 2.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 2.8% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
- Above 2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 2% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
- Above 3.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 3.2% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
- Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 3.6% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceeds 4% in December 2027? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures).
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Oct 15, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 12, 2028
- Expected result
- Jan 12, 2028
- Expected payout
- Jan 12, 2028
More US Core CPI markets
Other dates in this series
+10 more · 3K open interest US Core CPI
Closes Jan 13, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.