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Prices & Inflation

What will the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone be?

Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$1.9K vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above -1.8% at 98%, ahead of Above 0.6% at 97%.

The market has $1.9K in volume across 382 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 8, 2027. The result is confirmed by Eurostat.

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) flash estimate for the Eurozone is published monthly by Eurostat.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds -1.8% in December 2026.
  • Above 0.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 0.6% in December 2026.
  • Above -0.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds -0.2% in December 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds -1% in December 2026.
  • Above 1.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 1.4% in December 2026.
  • Above 2.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 2.2% in December 2026.
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 3% in December 2026.
  • Above 3.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 3.8% in December 2026.
  • Above 4.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 4.6% in December 2026.
  • Above 6.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 6.2% in December 2026.
  • Above 5.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in the Eurozone exceeds 5.4% in December 2026.

Result confirmed by Eurostat.

Trading opened
May 9, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 8, 2027
Expected result
Jan 8, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 8, 2027

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.