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Who will win the Texas 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

TX-22 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Trever Nehls88%
Marquette Greene-Scott10%
$538 vol.

About this market

Traders price Trever Nehls at 88% to win, ahead of Marquette Greene-Scott at 10%.

The market has $538 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Oct 4, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Texas 22nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Trever NehlsResolves Yes if Trever Nehls wins the Texas 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Marquette Greene-ScottResolves Yes if Marquette Greene-Scott wins the Texas 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 26, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 6, 2026
Expected result
Dec 6, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 6, 2026

More Texas elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.