Who will win the Texas general election for Governor in 2026?
Texas Governor General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Greg Abbott at 81% to win, ahead of Gina Hinojosa at 19%.
The market has $1.7K in volume across 40 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for Governor in Texas, shaping state executive leadership.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Greg AbbottResolves Yes if Greg Abbott wins the Texas general election for Governor in 2026.
- Gina HinojosaResolves Yes if Gina Hinojosa wins the Texas general election for Governor in 2026.
Result confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 6, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 6, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 6, 2026
More Texas elections
163.1K open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.