Open an account
Senate

Who will win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?

Texas Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

James Talarico68%
Ken Paxton35%
$94.4K vol.

About this market

Traders price James Talarico at 68% to win, ahead of Ken Paxton at 35%.

The market has $94.4K in volume across 370 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 6, 2026. The result is confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Texas, shaping national legislative representation.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • James TalaricoResolves Yes if James Talarico wins the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Ken PaxtonResolves Yes if Ken Paxton wins the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • John CornynResolves Yes if John Cornyn wins the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026.
  • Wesley HuntResolves Yes if Wesley Hunt wins the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026.

Result confirmed by Texas Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 6, 2026
Expected result
Dec 6, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 6, 2026

More Texas elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.