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Housing

What will US Housing Starts be?

US Housing Starts December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$389 vol.
Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 800000 at 99%, ahead of 700000 at 98%.

The market has $389 in volume across 87 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 19, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Housing starts is an economic indicator that reflects the number of privately owned new houses (technically housing units) on which construction has been started in a given period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 800000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 800,000 in December 2026.
  • 700000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 700,000 in December 2026.
  • 900000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 900,000 in December 2026.
  • 1000000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,000,000 in December 2026.
  • 1100000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,100,000 in December 2026.
  • 1200000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,200,000 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • 1300000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,300,000 in December 2026.
  • 1400000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,400,000 in December 2026.
  • 1500000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,500,000 in December 2026.
  • 1600000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,600,000 in December 2026.
  • 1700000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,700,000 in December 2026.
  • 1800000Resolves Yes if US Housing Starts exceeds 1,800,000 in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 20, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 19, 2027
Expected result
Jan 19, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 19, 2027

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.