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Housing

What will sales of new single-family homes be?

New Home Sales October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 25, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

New home sales reflects the demand for single-family homes and the health of the construction industry. New home sales are a key indicator for new residential construction and sales activity, providing significant insight into the housing market.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 350000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 350,000 in October 2026.
  • 400000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 400,000 in October 2026.
  • 450000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 450,000 in October 2026.
  • 500000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 500,000 in October 2026.
  • 550000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 550,000 in October 2026.
  • 600000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 600,000 in October 2026.
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  • 650000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 650,000 in October 2026.
  • 700000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 700,000 in October 2026.
  • 750000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 750,000 in October 2026.
  • 800000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 800,000 in October 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Aug 25, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 25, 2026
Expected result
Nov 25, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 25, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.