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Housing

What will sales of new single-family homes be?

New Home Sales December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$968 vol.
Show all 15 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 290000 at 94%, ahead of 340000 at 94%.

The market has $968 in volume across 214 trades; the most recent was on Sep 27, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 26, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

New home sales reflects the demand for single-family homes and the health of the construction industry. New home sales are a key indicator for new residential construction and sales activity, providing significant insight into the housing market.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 290000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 290,000 in December 2026.
  • 340000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 340,000 in December 2026.
  • 390000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 390,000 in December 2026.
  • 440000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 440,000 in December 2026.
  • 490000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 490,000 in December 2026.
  • 540000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 540,000 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • 590000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 590,000 in December 2026.
  • 640000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 640,000 in December 2026.
  • 690000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 690,000 in December 2026.
  • 740000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 740,000 in December 2026.
  • 790000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 790,000 in December 2026.
  • 840000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 840,000 in December 2026.
  • 990000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 990,000 in December 2026.
  • 890000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 890,000 in December 2026.
  • 940000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 940,000 in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 27, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 26, 2027
Expected result
Jan 26, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 26, 2027

More New Home Sales markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.