Housing
What will the change in US home prices be?
Percentage Change in US Home Prices December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.
The month-over-month percentage change in the median sales prices of new houses sold in the United States during the month specified in the contract as reported by the US Census Bureau in the New Residential Sales Report.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds -1.5% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above -3%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds -3% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 0%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 0% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 1.5% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 3%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 3% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 4.5%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 4.5% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 6%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 6% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 7.5%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 7.5% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
- Above 9%Resolves Yes if the change in US home prices exceeds 9% in December 2026? (real estate) (housing market) (property values).
Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.
- Trading opened
- Oct 27, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 1, 2027
More Percentage Change in US Home Prices markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more Percentage Change in US Home Prices
Closes Dec 23, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.