Housing

US Building Permits Initial December 2026

US Building Permits Initial December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$190 vol.

About this market

Traders price 1200000 at 99%, ahead of 1300000 at 91%.

The market has $190 in volume across 30 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 19, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Initial Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 1200000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,200,000 in December 2026.
  • 1300000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,300,000 in December 2026.
  • 1400000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,400,000 in December 2026.
  • 1500000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,500,000 in December 2026.
  • 1700000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,700,000 in December 2026.
  • 1600000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,600,000 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 8 outcomes
  • 1800000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,800,000 in December 2026.
  • 1900000Resolves Yes if US Building Permits exceeds 1,900,000 in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 20, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 19, 2027
Expected result
Jan 19, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 19, 2027

More US Building Permits Initial markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.