Housing

What will sales of new single-family homes be?

New Home Sales November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 15 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

New home sales reflects the demand for single-family homes and the health of the construction industry. New home sales are a key indicator for new residential construction and sales activity, providing significant insight into the housing market.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 350000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 350,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 375000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 375,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 400000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 400,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 425000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 425,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 450000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 450,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 475000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 475,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • 500000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 500,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 525000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 525,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 550000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 550,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 575000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 575,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 600000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 600,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 625000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 625,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 650000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 650,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 675000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 675,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).
  • 700000Resolves Yes if sales of new single-family homes exceeds 700,000 in November 2026? (housing market) (real estate) (homebuyers).

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Sep 24, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 23, 2026
Expected result
Dec 23, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 23, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.