Labor
What will US Initial Jobless Claims be?
US Initial Jobless Claims 2026 · Oct 31, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Nov 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
An initial claim is a claim filed by an unemployed individual after a separation from an employer. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- 160000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 160,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
- 170000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 170,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
- 180000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 180,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
- 190000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 190,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
- 200000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 200,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
- 210000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 210,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- 220000Resolves Yes if US Initial Jobless Claims exceeds 220,000 for the week ending October 31, 2026? (Jobs) (Unemployment).
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Oct 8, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 5, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 5, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 5, 2026
More US Initial Jobless Claims markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more US Initial Jobless Claims
Closes Nov 19, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.