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Prices & Inflation

What will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index be?

US Producer Price Index October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PPI is a leading indicator of inflation and is a measure of the average change in the prices that domestic producers receive for their goods and services.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 3.6% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
  • Above 4.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 4.4% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
  • Above 4.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 4.8% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 4% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
  • Above 5.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 5.2% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
  • Above 5.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 5.6% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceeds 6% in October 2026? (Wholesale inflation) (Factory prices).

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trading opened
Aug 13, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 13, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.