Government Actions

Will any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?

Sovereignty Transfer of Greenland 2028 · Dec 31, 2028 · Trading open

$20.3K vol.

About this market

Traders price Greenland sovereignty transfer by 2028 at 11%.

The market has $20.3K in volume across 723 trades; the most recent was on Oct 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2029. The result is confirmed by Associated Press.

Agreement between the United States and Greenland to transfer the sovereignty of any portion of the nation.

Rules and timeline

A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.

  • Greenland sovereignty transfer by 2028Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Associated Press.

Trading opened
Jun 13, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2029
Expected result
Jan 1, 2029
Expected payout
Jan 1, 2029

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.