Government Actions
Will any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
Sovereignty Transfer of Panama 2028 · Dec 31, 2028 · Trading open
$470 vol.
About this market
Traders price Panama sovereignty transfer by 2028 at 21%.
The market has $470 in volume across 136 trades; the most recent was on Aug 21, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2029. The result is confirmed by Associated Press.
Agreement between the United States and Panama to transfer the sovereignty of any portion of the nation.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Panama sovereignty transfer by 2028Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?” is yes.
Result confirmed by Associated Press.
- Trading opened
- Jun 13, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2029
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.