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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 5, 2026 · Trading open

$78 vol.
  • Above 54$78 vol.
    27%
    YesNo
  • Above 49
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 50
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 51
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 52
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 53
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 55
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 56
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 57
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 58
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 59
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 54 at 27%.

The market has $78 in volume across 6 trades; the most recent was on Nov 4, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 6, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 54 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 49 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 50 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 51 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 52 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 53 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 55 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 56 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 57 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 58 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 59 F on November 5, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 4, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 6, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 6, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 5, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.