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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 9, 2026 · Trading open

$65 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 56
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 57
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 63
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 58 at 85%, ahead of Above 59 at 70%.

The market has $65 in volume across 20 trades; the most recent was on Nov 9, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 58 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 59 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 61Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 61 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 60 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 62Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 62 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 53 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 54 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 55 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 56 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 57 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 63Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 63 F on November 9, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 8, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 10, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 9, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.