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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open

$1K vol.
Show all 12 outcomes
  • Above 42
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 43
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 50
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 51
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 46 at 98%, ahead of Above 47 at 98%.

The market has $1K in volume across 55 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 46 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 47Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 47 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 44 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 45 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 48 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 49 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 40 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 41 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 42 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 43Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 43 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 50 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 51 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 11, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.