Open an account
Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 13, 2026 · Trading open

$102 vol.
  • Above 40$62 vol.
    89%
    YesNo
  • Above 41$29 vol.
    60%
    YesNo
  • Above 42$11 vol.
    28%
    YesNo
  • Above 36
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 37
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 38
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 39
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 43
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 44
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 45
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 46
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 40 at 89%, ahead of Above 41 at 60%.

The market has $102 in volume across 27 trades; the most recent was on Nov 13, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 40 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 41 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 42 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 36Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 36 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 37Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 37 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 38Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 38 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 39Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 39 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 43Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 43 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 44 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 45 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 46 F on November 13, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 12, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 14, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 14, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 13, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.