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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) be?

Phoenix Daily Temperature High 2026 · Oct 31, 2026 · Trading open

$26 vol.
  • Above 76$8 vol.
    82%
    YesNo
  • Above 77$5 vol.
    68%
    YesNo
  • Above 78$13 vol.
    38%
    YesNo
  • Above 73
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 74
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 75
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 79
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 80
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 81
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 82
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 83
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 76 at 82%, ahead of Above 77 at 68%.

The market has $26 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 1, 2026, 1:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Phoenix, AZ as reported by the Weather Underground for the Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl Airport Station (KPHX).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/phoenix-kphx.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 76Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 76 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 77Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 77 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 78Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 78 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 73Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 73 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 74Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 74 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 75Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 75 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 79Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 79 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 80Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 80 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 81Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 81 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 82Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 82 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 83Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 83 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Oct 30, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 1, 2026, 1:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 1, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 1, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.