Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be?

San Francisco Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 2, 2026 · Trading open

$101 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 69
    No trades yet
  • Above 70
    No trades yet
  • Above 71
    No trades yet

About this market

Traders price Above 62 at 92%, ahead of Above 63 at 75%.

The market has $101 in volume across 11 trades; the most recent was on Nov 1, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 3, 2026, 2:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in San Francisco, CA as reported by the Weather Underground for the San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/san-francisco-ksfo.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 62Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 62 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 63Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 63 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 64Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 64 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 65Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 65 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 66Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 66 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 67Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 67 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 61Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 61 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 68Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 68 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 69Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 69 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 70Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 70 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 71Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 71 F on November 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 1, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 3, 2026, 2:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 3, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 3, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.