Open an account
Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$26 vol.
  • Below 64$19 vol.
    63%
    YesNo
  • Below 63$7 vol.
    32%
    YesNo
  • Below 56
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 57
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 58
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 59
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 60
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 61
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 62
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 65
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 66
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 64 at 63%, ahead of Below 63 at 32%.

The market has $26 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Nov 3, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 64Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 64 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 63Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 63 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 56Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 56 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 57Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 57 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 58Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 58 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 59Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 59 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 60Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 60 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 61Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 61 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 62Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 62 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 65Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 65 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 66Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 66 F on November 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 2, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 4, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 3, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.