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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 9, 2026 · Trading open

$121 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 37
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 38
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 45
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 44 at 93%, ahead of Below 43 at 81%.

The market has $121 in volume across 27 trades; the most recent was on Nov 9, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 44 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 43 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 42 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 41 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 40 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 39 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 35 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 36Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 36 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 37Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 37 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 38 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 45 F on November 9, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 8, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 10, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 9, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.