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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 11, 2026 · Trading closed

$196 vol.
  • Below 46$10 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 45$26 vol.
    93%
    Closed
  • Below 44$146 vol.
    37%
    Closed
  • Below 42$5 vol.
    17%
    Closed
  • Below 43$8 vol.
    15%
    Closed
  • Below 40
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 41
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 47
    No trades yet
    Closed
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 48
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 49
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 50
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Below 46 at 98%, ahead of Below 45 at 93%.

The market has $196 in volume across 39 trades; the most recent was on Nov 11, 2026.

Trading closed on Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 46Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 46 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 45 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 44 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 42 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 43 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 40 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 41 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 47Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 47 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 48Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 48 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 49 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 50 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 10, 2026
Trading closed
Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 12, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 11, 2026

More Chicago Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.