Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) be?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 13, 2026 · Trading open

$321 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 21
    No trades yet
  • Below 22
    No trades yet
  • Below 23
    No trades yet

About this market

Traders price Below 27 at 98%, ahead of Below 28 at 96%.

The market has $321 in volume across 57 trades; the most recent was on Nov 13, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as reported by the Weather Underground for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul Intl Airport/Wold-Chamberlain Field Station (KMSP).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/minneapolis-kmsp.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 27Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 27 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 28Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 28 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 29Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 29 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 26Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 26 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 25Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 25 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 24Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 24 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 19Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 19 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 20Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 20 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 21Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 21 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 22Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 22 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 23Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 23 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 12, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 14, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 14, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 13, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.