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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) be?

Philadelphia Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 13, 2026 · Trading open

$69 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 38
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 44
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 45
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 43 at 97%, ahead of Below 42 at 87%.

The market has $69 in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Nov 13, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Philadelphia, PA as reported by the Weather Underground for the Philadelphia Intl Airport Station (KPHL).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/philadelphia-kphl.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 43 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 42 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 41 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 40 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 39 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 35 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 36Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 36 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 37Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 37 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 38 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 44 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 45 F on November 13, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 12, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Expected result
Nov 14, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 13, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.