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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) be?

Seattle Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Oct 11, 2026 · Trading closed

$95 vol.
  • Below 45$36 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 46$28 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 48$10 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 47$10 vol.
    95%
    Closed
  • Below 44$10 vol.
    14%
    Closed
  • Below 43$1 vol.
    13%
    Closed
  • Below 38
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 39
    No trades yet
    Closed
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 40
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 41
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 42
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Below 45 at 98%, ahead of Below 46 at 98%.

The market has $95 in volume across 21 trades; the most recent was on Oct 11, 2026.

Trading closed on Oct 12, 2026, 2:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Seattle, WA as reported by the Weather Underground for the Seattle-Tacoma Intl Airport Station (KSEA).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/seattle-ksea.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 45 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 46Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 46 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 48Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 48 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 47Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 47 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 44 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 43 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 38 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 39 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 40 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 41 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Seattle (SEA)(KSEA) is below 42 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Oct 11, 2026
Trading closed
Oct 12, 2026, 2:59 AM ET
Expected result
Oct 12, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 12, 2026

More Seattle Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.