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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be?

San Francisco Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Oct 29, 2026 · Trading closed

$298 vol.
  • Below 54$89 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 56$10 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 55$31 vol.
    89%
    Closed
  • Below 51$12 vol.
    21%
    Closed
  • Below 53$136 vol.
    12%
    Closed
  • Below 52$21 vol.
    10%
    Closed
  • Below 50$1 vol.
    8%
    Closed
  • Below 49
    No trades yet
    Closed
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 57
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 58
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 59
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Below 54 at 98%, ahead of Below 56 at 98%.

The market has $298 in volume across 77 trades; the most recent was on Oct 29, 2026.

Trading closed on Oct 30, 2026, 2:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in San Francisco, CA as reported by the Weather Underground for the San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/san-francisco-ksfo.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 54Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 54 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 56Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 56 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 55Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 55 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 51Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 51 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 53Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 53 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 52Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 52 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 50 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 49 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 57Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 57 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 58Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 58 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 59Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 59 F on October 29, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Oct 28, 2026
Trading closed
Oct 30, 2026, 2:59 AM ET
Expected result
Oct 30, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 30, 2026

More San Francisco Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.