Prices & Inflation
What will US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers be?
US Retail Sales of Building Material and Garden Eq. and Supplies Dealers December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
$1K vol.
OutcomeChancePrice
- 39200$138 vol.96%
- 41600$200 vol.96%
- 42400$107 vol.96%
- 37600$37 vol.94%
- 38400$87 vol.91%
- 40000$76 vol.89%
- 40800$287 vol.89%
- 43200$55 vol.82%
About this market
Traders price 39200 at 96%, ahead of 41600 at 96%.
The market has $1K in volume across 234 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 14, 2027. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.
The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- 39200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 39,200 million dollars in December 2026.
- 41600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 41,600 million dollars in December 2026.
- 42400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 42,400 million dollars in December 2026.
- 37600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 37,600 million dollars in December 2026.
- 38400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 38,400 million dollars in December 2026.
- 40000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 40,000 million dollars in December 2026.
Show rules for all 11 outcomesShow fewer
- 40800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 40,800 million dollars in December 2026.
- 43200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 43,200 million dollars in December 2026.
- 43600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 43,600 million dollars in December 2026.
- 36800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 36,800 million dollars in December 2026.
- 44000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceeds 44,000 million dollars in December 2026? (Home improvement) (Hardware stores).
Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.
- Trading opened
- Oct 13, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 14, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 14, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 14, 2027
More US Retail Sales of Building Material and Garden Eq. and Supplies Dealers markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more US Retail Sales of Building Material and Garden Eq. and Supplies Dealers
Closes Dec 16, 2026US Retail Sales of Building Material and Garden Eq. and Supplies Dealers
Closes Jan 13, 2028
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.