Prices & Inflation

US Retail Sales of Miscellaneous Store Retailers December 2026

US Retail Sales of Miscellaneous Store Retailers December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$3K vol.
Show all 14 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 14600 at 97%, ahead of 15000 at 97%.

The market has $3K in volume across 546 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 14, 2027. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.

The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for miscellaneous store retailers, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 14600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 14,600 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 15000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 15,000 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 15600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 15,600 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 14400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 14,400 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 14800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 14,800 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 15200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 15,200 million dollars in December 2026.
Show rules for all 14 outcomes
  • 15400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 15,400 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 15800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 15,800 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 16000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 16,000 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 16200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 16,200 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 16400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 16,400 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 16600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 16,600 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 14200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 14,200 million dollars in December 2026.
  • 16800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceeds 16,800 million dollars in December 2026.

Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Oct 13, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 14, 2027
Expected result
Jan 14, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 14, 2027

More US Retail Sales of Miscellaneous Store Retailers markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.