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US Top Marginal Income Tax December 2026

US Top Marginal Income Tax December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$421 vol.

About this market

Traders price Above 36% at 97%, ahead of Above 38% at 2%.

The market has $421 in volume across 143 trades; the most recent was on Sep 5, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by United States Code.

Tax rates are set by Congress and enshrined in US code. The United States uses a progressive tax system, with the tax rate increasing as income increases. ForecastEx US Top Income Tax Rate contracts are based on the highest marginal rate for unmarried individuals, currently set at 37%

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 36%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 36% for tax year 2026.
  • Above 38%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 38% for tax year 2026.
  • Above 37%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 37% for tax year 2026.

Result confirmed by United States Code.

Trading opened
Sep 16, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2027
Expected result
Jan 1, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 2, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.