Fiscal Policy
US Top Marginal Income Tax December 2028
US Top Marginal Income Tax December 2028 · December 2028 · Trading open
$295 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 35% at 96%, ahead of Above 36% at 91%.
The market has $295 in volume across 46 trades; the most recent was on Aug 27, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2029. The result is confirmed by United States Code.
Tax rates are set by Congress and enshrined in US code. The United States uses a progressive tax system, with the tax rate increasing as income increases. ForecastEx US Top Income Tax Rate contracts are based on the highest marginal rate for unmarried individuals, currently set at 37%
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 35%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 35% for tax year 2028.
- Above 36%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 36% for tax year 2028.
- Above 37%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 37% for tax year 2028.
- Above 38%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 38% for tax year 2028.
- Above 39%Resolves Yes if the US top marginal income tax rate exceeds 39% for tax year 2028.
Result confirmed by United States Code.
- Trading opened
- Sep 16, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 2, 2029
More US Top Marginal Income Tax markets
Other dates in this series
+1 more · 370 open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.