Fiscal Policy
Will Congress enact an increase in the retirement age for Social Security before the end of 2028?
Social Security Retirement Age December 2028 · December 2028 · Trading open
$521 vol.
About this market
Traders price Social Security retirement age increase by 2028 at 25%.
The market has $521 in volume across 140 trades; the most recent was on Oct 7, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2029. The result is confirmed by United States Code.
The full retirement age is the age at which a US citizen receives full social security benefits when they retire. The full retirement age is recorded in US code. Note that current law has multiple full retirement ages depending on the date that a person was born. Only the highest of these full retirement ages is used for the purposes of settling this Forecast Contract.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Social Security retirement age increase by 2028Resolves Yes if Congress enact an increase in the retirement age for Social Security before the ends of 2028.
Result confirmed by United States Code.
- Trading opened
- Aug 16, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2029
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.