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What will the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP be?

Canada Real GDP December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$1.2K vol.
Show all 10 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above -1.6% at 90%, ahead of Above -1.2% at 87%.

The market has $1.2K in volume across 355 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.

Trading closes on Mar 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by Statistics Canada.

Canada Real GDP is typically published by Statistics Canada on the last business day of the second month following the end of the quarter being reported on at 7:30 AM CT.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1.6%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -1.6% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -1.2%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -1.2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -0.8%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -0.8% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -0.4%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -0.4% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0.4%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0.4% in Q4 2026.
Show rules for all 10 outcomes
  • Above 0.8%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0.8% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 1.2%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 1.2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 1.6%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 1.6% in Q4 2026.

Result confirmed by Statistics Canada.

Trading opened
Feb 27, 2026
Trading closes
Mar 1, 2027
Expected result
Mar 1, 2027
Expected payout
Mar 1, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.