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What will California's quarterly GDP growth be?

California GDP December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

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Trading closes on Mar 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The quarter-over-quarter percentage change in GDP, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis for California during a specified referenced period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -1% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -3%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -3% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -4%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -4% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 0% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 1% in Q4 2026.
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • Above 10%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 10% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 3% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 4% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 5%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 6%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 6% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 7%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 7% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 8%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 8% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 9%Resolves Yes if California's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 9% in Q4 2026.

Result confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Apr 1, 2026
Trading closes
Mar 27, 2027
Expected result
Mar 27, 2027
Expected payout
Mar 27, 2027

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