Economic Activity
Will the Eurozone enter a recession before the end of Q4 2026?
Eurozone Recession December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
$8 vol.
About this market
Traders price Eurozone Recession By Q4 2026 at 39%.
The market has $8 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2025.
Trading closes on Jan 31, 2027. The result is confirmed by Eurostat.
A recession in the eurozone is typically defined as a period of negative economic growth, during which the combined Gross Domestic Product of euro area member countries contracts for two consecutive quarters or more.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Eurozone Recession By Q4 2026Resolves Yes if the Eurozone enter a recession before the ends of Q4 2026.
Result confirmed by Eurostat.
- Trading opened
- May 8, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 31, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 31, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 31, 2027
More Eurozone Recession markets
Other dates in this series
Eurozone Recession Q4
Closes Jan 31, 2028
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.